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Alison Bevege's avatar

We all know that a regime change war in Iran has nothing to do with nukes or concern over "the people". So - why? I am still exploring what to think.

This is big-power jostling. It looks like the US is trying to prevent China-backed transport and gas links through Iran to the Mediterranean which might compete with the UK-Sunni axis, and empower BRICS to defy the Petrodollar empire.

Also, they are hindering China's access to energy, possibly because why: because they are preparing for war with China? Maybe. Maybe that's what the lockdown and censorship covid nonsense was really about, practising public control for the next war...

2021 - Iran-China sign 25-year partnership covering trade, economic and transportation co-operation.

Source: https://asiatimes.com/2021/03/birth-of-a-new-geopolitical-paradigm/

2021 - The rail corridor is especially important, enabling China to bypass Anglo-American patrolled shipping lanes and cutting out the Suez as it imports oil.

Source: https://asiatimes.com/2021/04/china-iran-pact-paves-way-for-alternative-to-suez/#

And more from 2021:

"Iran’s oil and gas may be shipped to Xinjiang via the Caspian Sea and Kazakhstan – using a to-be-built Trans-Caspian pipeline."

"From Beijing’s point of view, Iran is also absolutely essential for the development of a land corridor from the Persian Gulf to the Black Sea – and beyond, to Europe via the Danube."

I don't think the Sunni-Anglo-American alliance would like this, do you?

China buys 90% of its oil from Iran, shipped through the Straits of Hormuz which will be shut if there is all-out war with Iran.

Source: https://www.aa.com.tr/en/asia-pacific/china-faces-oil-supply-risk-if-israel-iran-conflict-escalates/3606285

FT says it's more like 15%

Source: https://www.ft.com/content/c1398efb-99d9-4709-9f24-9c7d9057e421

31 January 2025 - Iran announces the world's biggest railway linking China to the Mediterranean through Iran would open by March next year

Source: https://www.tehrantimes.com/news/511954/Khaf-Herat-railway-to-be-fully-operational-by-Mar-2026-official

"The line is considered a critical link in a broader transcontinental corridor connecting China, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Afghanistan, Iran, and eventually the Persian Gulf and Europe."

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Walter Strohbeck's avatar

Thanks Ali - good work - shared ob FB !

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